Predicting Novel Terrorism: Media Coverage as Early-Warning System of Novelty in Terror Attacks

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Hannes Lampe Eva Herschinger Christian Nitzl Jurgen Willems a Institute of Entrepreneurship, Technical University Hamburg (TUHH), Hamburg, Germanyb Data Driven Government, Capgemini Invent, Capgemini, Germanyc Center for Intelligence and Security Studies, University of the Bundeswehr Munich, Neubiberg, Germanyd Institute for Public Management & Governance, Vienna University of Economics and Business, Vienna, AustriaHannes Lampe is Manager at Capgemini Invent with a focus on Data Driven Government. Furthermore, he is research partner at the Vienna University of Economics and Business as well as at the Hamburg University of Technology. His research focus lies in Public Management, Data Science and Predictive Modelling.Eva Herschinger is Head of Research Program “Security and Intelligence” at the Center for Intelligence and Security Studies (CISS) at the University of the Bundeswehr Munich. Her research focuses on security issues, in particular terrorism and counter-terrorism as well as radicalization, violent extremism and gender.Christian Nitzl is head of research for Wargaming and Information Systems at the Center for Intelligence and Security Studies (CISS). His focus is on research issues such as the art and science of wargaming, public management, public accounting, and statistical analysis methods.Jurgen Willems is Professor for Public Management and Governance in the Department of Management at the Vienna University of Economics and Business (WU Wien). His teaching and research cover a variety of topics on citizen-state and citizen-society interactions.

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